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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Suns35%10181
17Jazz65%10694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
39.6
32.4
13
50%
3
6
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
1-5
20%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.5
34.7
27.0
21
48%
11
1
2
1
0
1
4
7
7-7
100%
7-19
5-10
37%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.3
31.4
25.1
16
80%
2
1
2
1
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
51%
2-3
67%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.7
29.5
34.2
1
7%
8
0
1
1
1
2
1
7
1-2
50%
0-6
6-11
0%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
23.1
29.8
7
35%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-7
5-11
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.4
24.8
17.6
9
32%
2
4
4
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-10
2-4
40%
43%
0-3
0%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.5
24.1
16.4
4
67%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.9
16.6
23.3
4
20%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-6
3-7
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.2
12.5
20.6
6
51%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
42%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.3
3.8
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.0
2.8
0
0-1
42%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
2.6
0
0-1
41%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.6
2.2
0
0-1
46%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.6
43.0
28.1
18
45%
5
2
0
1
0
4
1
4
5-7
71%
5-13
3-7
38%
50%
1-4
25%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.7
40.9
15.9
0
0%
2
14
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.4
37.6
25.4
13
60%
7
2
0
1
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.8
36.7
27.6
27
62%
14
2
1
1
2
0
4
10
3-4
75%
12-20
6-12
60%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.7
30.4
28.4
18
64%
13
1
1
1
1
3
2
11
4-7
57%
7-10
5-10
70%
51%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.3
15.5
22.9
10
85%
6
0
0
1
3
3
3
3
2-2
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
50%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.1
15.2
26.7
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-4
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
11.3
16.6
6
87%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
3-3
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.3
9.5
10.4
2
41%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.9
30.0
1
4-8
48%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
4.8
0
1-1
46%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.0
3.7
0
0-1
57%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
2.2
0
0-1
47%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.4
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.