Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Spurs	55%	100	112	113.1	99	104.3
	18	Trail Blazers	45%	99	109	113.5	96	91.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 25	32.0	10	63%	5	2	0	1	3	0	1	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 37	31.5	22	69%	9	1	1	3	1	2	2	7	8-9	89%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 24	23.4	7	39%	2	4	1	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 21	22.6	10	83%	3	1	3	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Boris Diaw C · 6'8" 250 · 31	14.9	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	31.8	27	79%	7	1	0	0	1	3	1	6	3-4	75%	9-13	69%	2-3	67%
Stephen Jackson G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35	30.6	13	59%	3	3	2	0	3	2	0	3	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 35	28.0	17	71%	4	4	2	0	3	4	1	3	6-8	75%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28	18.0	6	75%	2	0	0	1	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 25	5.0	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 21	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Parker #9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	65%	36	20	9	5	21	0	6	30	25-31	81%	33-52	63%	7-18	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 25	32.0	10	63%	5	2	0	1	3	0	1	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 37	31.5	22	69%	9	1	1	3	1	2	2	7	8-9	89%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 24	23.4	7	39%	2	4	1	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 21	22.6	10	83%	3	1	3	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Boris Diaw C · 6'8" 250 · 31	14.9	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	31.8	27	79%	7	1	0	0	1	3	1	6	3-4	75%	9-13	69%	2-3	67%
Stephen Jackson G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35	30.6	13	59%	3	3	2	0	3	2	0	3	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 35	28.0	17	71%	4	4	2	0	3	4	1	3	6-8	75%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28	18.0	6	75%	2	0	0	1	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 25	5.0	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 21	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Parker #9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	65%	36	20	9	5	21	0	6	30	25-31	81%	33-52	63%	7-18	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 27	41.4	29	50%	4	7	2	4	3	3	2	2	5-6	83%	12-24	50%	0-2	0%
Nicolas Batum F · 6'7" 230 · 24	39.0	33	83%	7	4	2	1	3	4	1	6	6-6	100%	6-11	55%	5-7	71%
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 200 · 22	37.8	20	63%	3	6	2	0	4	3	1	2	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	4-8	50%
Wesley Matthews G · 6'5" 220 · 26	37.4	10	42%	3	4	2	0	2	4	1	2	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
JJ Hickson C · 6'9" 242 · 24	34.4	13	65%	14	0	1	0	0	5	5	9	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Sasha Pavlovic G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29	16.7	2	50%	3	1	3	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Meyers Leonard C · 7'1" 255 · 21	13.5	2	33%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 29	10.3	0	0%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 23	3.7	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jared Jeffries F · 6'11" 240 · 31	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joel Freeland C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nolan Smith G · 6'2" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Victor Claver #18 · · 6'9" 224 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Elliot Williams #9 · G · 6'5" 190 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	37	23	14	5	15	0	12	25	15-19	79%	32-67	48%	10-22	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	POR
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.30 65.1%

POR

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

16

27

59%

POR

16

32

50%

Midrange

SAS

17

25

68%

POR

16

35

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

7

10.5

18

39%

58%

POR

10

15.0

22

45%

68%

Free Throws

SAS

25

31

81%

POR

15

19

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Neal	27	79%	13.5 / 17
T. Duncan	22	69%	11.0 / 16
M. Ginobili	17	71%	8.5 / 12
S. Jackson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
D. Green	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Leonard	10	83%	5.0 / 6
P. Mills	7	39%	3.5 / 9
T. Splitter	6	75%	3.0 / 4
B. Diaw	0	-	0.0 / 0
M. Bonner	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Batum	33	83%	16.5 / 20
L. Aldridge	29	50%	14.5 / 29
D. Lillard	20	63%	10.0 / 16
J. Hickson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
W. Matthews	10	42%	5.0 / 12
S. Pavlovic	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Leonard	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Price	0	-	0.0 / 3
L. Babbitt	0	-	0.0 / 1
W. Barton	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 107.8 15 105.9	SAS 113.1 POR 113.5 +0.4
Pace	5 94.7 19 91.3	SAS 104.3 +12.9 POR 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.4 11 15.9	SAS 13.8 −2.0 POR 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 53.1% 13 49.8%	SAS 62.1% +9.3% POR 52.8%
TO %	9 14.8% 21 15.4%	SAS 20.1% POR 13.3% −6.8%
ORB %	29 20.7% 23 25.3%	SAS 19.4% POR 28.6% +9.2%
FTrt	21 25.8 23 25.0	SAS 44.3 +23.0 POR 21.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 64.1% 18 59.3%	SAS 50.0% POR 54.8% +4.8%
STL %	8 8.9% 29 7.1%	SAS 9.1% POR 14.6% +5.5%
BLK %	13 8.1% 29 6.7%	SAS 7.5% POR 9.6% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 55.3% 13 52.4%	SAS 65.1% +10.0% POR 55.1%
Rim FG%	5 60.8% 14 57.5%	SAS 59.3% +9.3% POR 50.0%
Mid FG%	2 42.4% 8 40.4%	SAS 68.0% +22.3% POR 45.7%
3P %	4 37.6% 20 35.3%	SAS 38.9% POR 45.5% +6.6%
FT %	3 79.1% 7 77.6%	SAS 80.6% +1.7% POR 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 37.7% 23 34.2%	SAS 38.6% +2.6% POR 36.0%
Mid Att. %	7 35.9% 12 37.4%	SAS 35.7% −3.6% POR 39.3%
3P Att. %	9 26.4% 6 28.4%	SAS 25.7% +1.0% POR 24.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	POR
Possessions	99	96
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	112	109
Rebounds	36	37
Assists	20	23
Steals	9	14
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	21 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	25 (0)
Field Goals	40-70	42-89
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	16-32
Midrange FG	17-25	16-35
2-Point FG	33-52	32-67
3-Point FG	7-18	10-22
Free Throws	25-31	15-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg