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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets58%105107
23Warriors42%102101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
48.3
30.3
21
46%
7
2
2
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
3-11
27%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.0
47.9
34.0
9
29%
1
10
2
1
0
6
0
1
3-6
50%
3-10
6-11
30%
52%
0-3
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
47.9
33.5
19
38%
12
8
1
1
0
2
1
11
3-3
100%
5-17
4-7
29%
48%
2-7
29%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
47.8
27.9
18
58%
17
0
2
1
2
1
9
8
2-6
33%
8-13
5-10
62%
54%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.7
24.9
23.7
7
51%
7
0
0
1
5
0
3
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.6
30.5
24.8
13
41%
5
9
1
1
0
1
3
2
3-4
75%
5-14
3-7
36%
47%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.8
21.3
18.7
9
46%
12
0
0
0
2
1
7
5
1-2
50%
4-9
4-7
44%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.7
21.3
21.3
11
43%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
13.3
0
2-4
48%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.3
12.1
0
2-3
50%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
7.2
0
1-1
47%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
3.6
0
0-1
47%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.3
3.2
0
1-1
47%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.0
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
54.8
28.7
23
43%
5
1
0
1
2
3
0
5
0-2
0%
4-11
4-8
36%
45%
5-15
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
48.1
33.3
18
42%
9
5
4
1
1
2
5
4
4-6
67%
7-19
7-13
37%
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
37.2
32.0
19
53%
5
3
3
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
49%
3-6
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.4
18.8
26.9
7
52%
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
2
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-1
100%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
9.9
17.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
37.8
20.5
8
36%
8
5
2
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.1
36.0
24.6
22
64%
9
3
0
0
1
2
4
5
4-7
57%
9-14
5-9
64%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
23.4
18.3
2
17%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
19.3
7.1
2
35%
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
7
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
3.7
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
0.9
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
0.1
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
4.6
0
1-2
45%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.3
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.