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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Cavaliers20%9791
6Thunder80%108106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.6
34
34
20
4
5
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-2
0%
7-13
6-12
54%
46%
2-3
67%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.7
33
33
10
8
1
2
1
0
1
2
6
4-4
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
43%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.1
33
34
6
8
6
2
1
0
3
1
7
2-4
50%
2-8
5-9
25%
51%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
32
30
18
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.9
21
29
8
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-8
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.7
29
21
16
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
37%
1-5
20%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.5
24
8
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-2
0%
2-7
1-2
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
14
7
7
4
0
2
0
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
12
8
0
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.8
6
22
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
44%
0-0
-
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.7
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
36%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
15
1
2-4
43%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
2
0
0-0
39%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.0
40
32
27
6
10
4
1
0
8
1
5
3-4
75%
6-10
7-14
60%
48%
4-6
67%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
36
37
26
8
2
0
1
1
2
0
8
7-8
88%
8-14
7-12
57%
54%
1-2
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
34
33
14
7
0
0
1
7
2
0
7
4-4
100%
5-9
5-10
56%
55%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
29
28
7
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.0
25
25
10
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
4-4
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.8
30
29
16
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.0
19
19
4
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.4
13
16
0
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.1
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.6
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.3
2
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.6
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.5
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.