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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Jazz51%104140
24Raptors49%103133
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.9
50.1
21.1
17
50%
3
14
4
1
2
7
1
2
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
47%
3-7
43%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.9
49.0
30.4
24
53%
17
3
2
1
1
2
2
15
5-6
83%
8-18
7-14
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.8
43.7
29.0
34
83%
9
2
2
1
2
1
1
8
9-10
90%
8-12
5-10
67%
50%
3-4
75%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.6
34.3
32.8
12
51%
3
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
2-6
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.4
31.9
29.0
17
73%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
4-6
67%
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
1-1
100%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.3
45.0
20.2
15
51%
6
0
2
1
4
2
3
3
3-6
50%
6-12
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.1
36.7
22.5
20
91%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
8-9
89%
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
4-6
67%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.7
12.9
24.3
0
0%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
11.7
14.7
1
27%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.3
10.1
0
1-3
44%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.1
2.9
0
0-1
55%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.4
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
60.0
37.0
37
51%
8
6
2
1
0
5
1
7
4-7
57%
15-27
6-14
56%
46%
1-6
17%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
50.0
30.5
20
59%
2
17
3
1
0
5
1
1
2-2
100%
6-12
2-5
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.0
48.7
34.4
19
45%
8
1
1
1
2
2
2
6
8-9
89%
4-13
6-12
31%
47%
1-4
25%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
32.6
8.8
5
64%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
16.0
19.5
10
105%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
3-3
3-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.5
38.3
19.4
11
59%
14
2
3
1
1
2
7
7
1-3
33%
5-8
3-5
63%
56%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
30.3
11.5
20
58%
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
5
3-3
100%
4-9
1-2
44%
48%
3-7
43%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
17.8
9.8
4
50%
9
0
2
0
1
1
6
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.0
13.9
13.5
7
58%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.9
4.4
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.8
3.0
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.1
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.6
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.1
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.