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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder67%10392
28Pistons33%9790
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
43.8
36.1
26
49%
9
3
0
1
4
2
0
9
10-10
100%
8-20
6-12
40%
53%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.0
43.8
35.0
33
52%
10
4
3
1
0
2
4
6
11-15
73%
11-22
6-14
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
38.3
33.0
11
53%
7
0
0
1
6
3
3
4
3-3
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
54%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
34.0
28.5
2
35%
8
2
2
1
0
3
0
8
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.0
21.3
25.0
1
17%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.8
28.7
28.8
13
56%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
8-8
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
1-4
25%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.0
16.4
19.2
2
50%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.4
7.3
15.0
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.7
3.6
13.2
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.5
2.9
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.1
6.3
0
1-1
49%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.6
4.3
0
0-1
44%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.6
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.6
40.5
31.7
19
61%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-6
67%
6-10
3-8
60%
43%
1-3
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.7
39.7
30.0
12
42%
6
3
0
0
1
0
3
3
3-5
60%
3-11
4-9
27%
44%
1-1
100%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.4
33.9
32.7
17
54%
6
2
4
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
7-14
6-13
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.9
31.6
32.4
8
29%
4
6
1
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
43%
2-8
25%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.7
29.9
22.6
13
51%
7
1
0
0
3
1
3
4
3-6
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.7
18.6
19.0
3
23%
4
0
0
1
0
1
4
0
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.9
16.6
14.5
5
34%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.5
16.4
20.1
9
77%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.3
12.8
16.9
4
67%
6
1
2
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
8.2
0
1-1
41%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
4.4
0
0-1
44%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.2
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.4
3.5
0
0-1
40%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.