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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Celtics38%94101
8Bulls62%9895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.7
37.4
38.4
20
63%
9
10
5
2
0
5
1
8
0-0
-
10-14
5-11
71%
47%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.5
34.3
27.2
16
93%
5
3
1
1
2
0
2
3
6-6
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
47%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.1
32.8
34.3
10
36%
6
5
2
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.5
28.6
29.8
15
46%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
6-15
6-12
40%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.2
26.4
24.5
13
60%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
46%
1-5
20%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
19.4
11.5
7
105%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.1
17.8
22.8
4
67%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
15.2
20.9
7
50%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.0
15.2
9.9
6
43%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.7
12.9
15.0
3
75%
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.9
2.9
0
0-0
42%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 27.4
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
1.2
0
0-0
44%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.4
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
45.4
39.4
26
59%
11
3
1
1
0
3
2
9
3-5
60%
10-17
5-10
59%
48%
1-3
33%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.7
41.9
37.3
17
70%
11
3
0
1
1
1
1
10
5-5
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
51%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.5
29.9
23.1
11
63%
2
7
2
1
0
4
2
0
4-4
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.0
27.0
27.4
15
49%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-3
33%
7-14
6-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.7
21.1
26.3
8
45%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
4-10
38%
45%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
21.0
22.4
4
35%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
1-4
4-7
25%
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
18.7
16.0
5
42%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.7
18.1
3.9
5
43%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.2
10.7
12.0
4
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.2
6.1
6.2
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
1.3
0
0-0
45%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.