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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat52%98113
10Rockets48%97110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
39.9
33.8
38
64%
10
6
0
1
0
0
1
9
5-8
63%
9-18
7-14
50%
54%
5-8
63%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.8
39.8
32.1
19
45%
6
7
1
1
0
2
1
5
3-7
43%
8-17
7-13
47%
50%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.2
34.6
19.5
6
100%
0
2
1
1
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
2-3
67%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.6
33.8
31.7
24
76%
10
3
0
1
1
3
4
6
4-4
100%
10-14
6-11
71%
50%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
27.0
25.7
4
37%
6
5
1
1
0
2
0
6
1-1
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.3
25.6
25.0
8
57%
4
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
15.4
20.7
10
83%
7
0
0
0
0
0
5
2
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
45%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
14.8
20.2
2
17%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
9.2
16.5
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.7
11.9
0
0-1
45%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
5.4
0
0-1
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
4.2
0
0-0
37%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.7
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.0
40.4
33.9
25
67%
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
5-10
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
39.8
36.3
22
50%
3
5
1
1
1
2
0
3
9-11
82%
5-11
5-10
45%
52%
1-6
17%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
35.5
24.3
17
57%
9
1
0
0
1
0
4
5
1-2
50%
8-13
4-8
62%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
34.2
30.2
9
51%
1
6
1
2
3
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
3-7
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
32.4
29.9
19
67%
14
3
0
1
1
3
5
9
11-14
79%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.2
23.8
24.4
8
40%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
2-7
29%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
19.5
17.3
8
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
13.8
13.0
2
50%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.8
0.5
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
8.2
0
1-2
47%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.0
7.3
0
1-2
48%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
5.3
0
0-1
40%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.1
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.