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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Pistons28%9394
1876ers72%10176
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.5
39.9
18.7
16
54%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
6-11
1-3
55%
43%
1-3
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.4
39.8
32.7
19
51%
18
6
0
1
1
6
5
13
5-6
83%
7-16
6-13
44%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.0
35.1
31.6
15
64%
7
7
0
1
0
2
0
7
4-6
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
41%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.7
34.1
33.1
15
54%
5
6
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
7-13
4-10
54%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.7
28.1
25.3
8
71%
12
3
0
1
3
1
2
10
4-6
67%
2-3
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
21.6
13.7
9
95%
2
3
0
0
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.7
14.6
18.8
0
0%
6
0
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.9
12.9
15.3
6
41%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.3
11.2
15.4
6
44%
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
0-2
0%
3-6
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
1.3
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
1.3
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.2
3.0
0
0-1
44%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.4
2.7
0
0-1
38%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.6
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.4
32.8
36.6
12
35%
6
7
3
2
0
1
0
6
4-9
44%
4-13
5-10
31%
48%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
28.4
34.6
4
18%
8
0
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-11
6-11
18%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.8
26.1
17.0
9
38%
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-6
2-3
0%
49%
3-6
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.0
23.3
31.2
3
22%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
4-10
17%
46%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.7
12.4
5.0
3
52%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
26.3
18.4
14
64%
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
2
2-2
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
23.9
24.0
9
39%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
5-6
83%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
19.8
27.2
6
47%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.9
15.5
16.9
7
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.5
15.4
23.5
5
37%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.0
6.6
2.3
2
36%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-4
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.8
6.3
5.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.5
3.3
1.8
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.