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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Jazz38%9693
11Celtics62%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.8
40.4
30.4
20
44%
12
4
1
1
2
2
3
9
2-4
50%
9-20
5-10
45%
50%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.9
38.5
27.6
14
36%
1
5
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-1
0%
4-13
3-7
31%
45%
2-6
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.9
34.6
32.5
13
50%
14
3
0
1
0
3
4
10
1-2
50%
6-11
7-14
55%
48%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.6
31.4
30.0
14
71%
6
3
0
1
1
0
4
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
2-2
100%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.4
25.4
27.0
7
51%
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.3
26.0
25.3
14
63%
9
1
1
1
0
0
5
4
10-14
71%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.1
22.5
24.2
9
61%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
41%
2-3
67%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
11.8
12.5
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.7
9.5
18.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.3
6.9
0
1-2
42%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.1
2.4
0
0-0
53%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
1.1
0
0-0
43%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.2
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.5
32.2
29.6
8
50%
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.5
29.7
29.0
11
47%
8
4
2
1
1
0
0
8
3-4
75%
4-10
6-12
40%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.1
29.2
33.3
23
57%
2
2
2
1
1
2
0
2
6-7
86%
4-10
5-10
40%
47%
3-7
43%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.7
25.3
37.7
6
33%
3
10
1
2
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
5-11
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.2
21.9
24.8
3
65%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
27.3
18.4
16
66%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
6-7
86%
5-9
2-5
56%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.0
22.7
11.9
16
75%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-6
50%
5-7
1-3
71%
47%
1-1
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
18.3
14.4
7
90%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.1
17.6
20.7
6
50%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.7
15.8
14.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.0
2.9
0
0-0
42%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 27.4
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.4
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.