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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pacers38%9385
13Bucks62%9799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.5
30.3
34.7
3
14%
4
4
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
1-7
4-8
14%
48%
0-3
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
30.2
37.7
12
34%
3
2
1
2
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
47%
1-6
17%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
30.1
25.1
4
52%
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-6
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.9
25.0
26.7
7
45%
8
0
0
0
2
2
3
5
1-4
25%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.2
23.0
34.5
7
35%
9
1
0
1
0
2
1
8
1-2
50%
3-9
7-14
33%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.8
26.1
26.3
13
55%
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.0
19.2
21.0
17
80%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
5-6
83%
6-8
2-6
75%
41%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
15.7
5.3
8
52%
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5
1-4
25%
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
1-2
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.0
15.4
12.3
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.0
7.4
12.7
5
66%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.2
5.9
1.5
2
53%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
5.9
1.4
0
0%
0
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
5.8
1.4
4
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.1
28.7
35.8
16
62%
3
4
1
2
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-6
5-10
67%
46%
2-6
33%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
27.7
35.1
16
48%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
6-13
6-13
46%
48%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
21.8
23.2
5
25%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-9
3-6
22%
49%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.3
20.1
16.2
11
81%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.5
18.4
17.0
14
80%
6
1
1
0
3
1
1
5
4-4
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
27.2
15.4
9
54%
6
10
3
1
0
0
2
4
3-3
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
23.6
25.9
5
28%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
1-6
17%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
21.9
22.8
9
58%
5
2
1
1
2
0
4
1
1-4
25%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
19.5
19.9
4
29%
7
0
2
1
0
0
4
3
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
12.5
18.6
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-2
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.9
7.5
5.5
10
63%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-8
1-1
63%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.1
6.8
2.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.0
4.5
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.