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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hornets29%9196
9Rockets71%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.3
35.8
22.4
10
56%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
2-4
50%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.8
33.5
28.5
24
70%
5
9
0
1
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
45%
3-4
75%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.1
30.1
31.1
14
44%
7
2
2
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
46%
0-2
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.7
29.1
22.0
8
46%
4
1
2
1
3
1
2
2
4-4
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.6
21.4
27.6
5
43%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
28.9
30.5
20
53%
12
1
0
1
1
0
6
6
0-0
-
7-9
2-5
78%
48%
2-10
20%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.7
16.7
10.6
4
42%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
15.5
6.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 26.9
15.3
20.0
9
51%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
7.3
16.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.2
6.5
16.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
3.9
0
0-1
43%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 32.2
1.6
0
0-0
40%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
39.4
35.8
13
41%
10
3
0
1
0
2
2
8
3-4
75%
2-8
3-6
25%
51%
2-6
33%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
39.3
36.9
30
60%
3
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
9-11
82%
9-13
5-10
69%
54%
1-7
14%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
33.8
31.2
4
20%
4
4
3
2
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-3
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
30.0
30.4
15
64%
12
1
0
1
2
3
2
10
3-4
75%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
29.6
28.5
6
75%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
4-9
75%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
25.4
18.0
13
72%
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
16.6
13.4
12
100%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
4-5
80%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.2
14.6
23.8
1
9%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
11.4
6.0
6
104%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.0
5.2
0
1-1
51%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.8
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
3.6
0
0-0
42%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.6
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.