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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats20%9089
16Timberwolves80%10287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.5
45.3
32.9
22
54%
4
5
4
1
1
5
0
4
3-3
100%
8-16
4-11
50%
40%
1-3
33%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
33.6
28.3
12
47%
15
2
1
1
4
0
4
11
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.0
26.5
27.8
6
50%
4
0
0
0
2
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.5
25.5
24.2
7
44%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.1
16.9
29.3
2
25%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
43%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
32.1
26.3
18
41%
6
4
2
1
0
0
1
5
2-5
40%
8-15
3-8
53%
43%
0-5
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
21.3
11.6
8
57%
3
2
3
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
2-3
67%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.2
18.2
17.0
4
100%
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.2
17.7
19.0
10
73%
4
0
1
1
3
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
41%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 23.4
2.8
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
14.5
0
2-4
44%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.8
6.1
0
0-1
41%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.4
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
44.2
35.6
26
81%
12
2
1
2
2
5
3
9
5-9
56%
6-9
4-8
67%
53%
3-3
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
37.2
34.1
16
44%
5
10
2
1
0
0
2
3
3-5
60%
5-10
4-7
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.5
35.4
14.8
10
34%
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
4-6
67%
3-7
2-3
43%
48%
0-5
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.5
23.2
19.2
10
33%
9
2
0
0
1
2
3
6
4-7
57%
3-11
3-5
27%
48%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.1
21.5
11.5
1
6%
7
0
1
0
2
3
1
6
1-4
25%
0-6
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
28.5
25.6
8
44%
7
1
1
1
3
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
53%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 23.9
23.5
25.1
13
60%
2
2
0
1
0
5
2
0
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
50%
1-3
33%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
22.8
7.5
3
40%
7
0
1
0
3
1
4
3
1-4
25%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
3.8
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.9
29.6
1
6-11
57%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.5
16.6
0
2-3
52%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
6.8
0
1-2
47%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.3
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.2
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.