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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Hawks55%10188
22Warriors45%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.9
40.6
31.4
16
45%
10
4
3
1
2
3
1
9
4-4
100%
6-16
7-14
38%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.7
37.9
28.1
14
102%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
2-3
67%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.6
31.0
22.8
7
39%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
37%
1-6
17%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.4
27.2
29.7
9
38%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
50%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.8
23.8
25.0
4
50%
2
1
4
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
25.4
19.5
18
53%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-7
71%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
3-8
38%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.6
21.5
8.8
15
77%
4
0
2
0
0
2
3
1
1-4
25%
7-8
1-2
88%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
12.3
9.6
3
28%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.5
11.8
13.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.8
5.0
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.3
3.5
2.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
32.9
1
6-11
54%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.7
2.3
0
0-1
43%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
39.7
22.7
19
65%
13
1
1
1
0
3
3
10
6-8
75%
5-9
2-5
56%
46%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
37.1
34.9
18
49%
10
5
0
1
0
5
4
6
2-3
67%
8-16
7-14
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
35.4
33.9
7
29%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-6
4-9
17%
45%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
32.5
31.2
12
44%
1
7
3
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-5
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
17.6
14.1
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
22.7
25.8
10
64%
5
1
1
0
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
16.9
23.7
9
104%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
15.8
10.3
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
12.3
18.4
10
78%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
9.6
6.8
5
83%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
0.4
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
3.2
0
1-1
45%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
2.4
0
0-1
42%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.