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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Mavericks41%9283
16Pacers59%95103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
32.2
34.3
19
61%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
4-10
4-9
40%
43%
2-3
67%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
32.1
31.9
10
43%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
0-3
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.6
26.9
27.7
8
33%
10
0
0
0
1
2
2
8
0-0
-
4-12
5-10
33%
47%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.5
25.3
24.5
2
20%
7
3
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.7
21.3
22.9
7
41%
4
2
0
1
2
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.5
20.3
19.7
4
40%
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
19.4
15.6
2
20%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.8
17.5
24.3
10
47%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-6
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
16.3
10.2
9
68%
7
0
0
0
2
1
3
4
5-6
83%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
11.1
11.4
6
60%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
56%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.4
10.9
18.9
4
67%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
6.7
14.7
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.4
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.5
33.7
32.5
15
78%
5
7
2
1
0
2
0
5
4-6
67%
4-6
4-8
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.9
28.6
25.9
14
39%
8
2
2
0
2
0
5
3
4-7
57%
5-15
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.2
26.8
29.8
15
60%
7
2
1
1
1
1
1
6
5-8
63%
5-9
6-12
56%
49%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
26.0
34.5
11
46%
5
2
2
2
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
25.1
26.5
12
67%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.0
23.4
20.1
8
43%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
2-5
40%
3-7
2-6
43%
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.8
21.4
25.8
5
39%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
21.1
9.0
14
64%
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
46%
2-7
29%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.0
14.3
13.1
0
0%
1
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.0
12.5
10.7
7
51%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-6
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
2.4
3.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.2
2.4
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
2.4
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.