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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors40%95106
18Timberwolves60%9898
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
34.6
30.5
18
57%
9
1
0
1
0
1
2
7
2-2
100%
8-13
3-6
62%
46%
0-2
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
34.3
35.3
18
55%
13
3
1
1
0
1
6
7
2-3
67%
8-15
7-14
53%
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
29.1
31.4
17
64%
4
6
1
1
1
3
2
2
3-3
100%
7-9
4-7
78%
48%
0-3
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
27.8
33.9
12
40%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
44%
1-6
17%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
15.8
15.7
4
100%
5
0
0
0
1
1
4
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
28.9
23.8
15
74%
7
0
0
0
2
3
1
6
3-5
60%
6-8
4-8
75%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
24.4
20.1
13
66%
0
4
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
16.3
13.4
0
0%
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
13.4
15.2
2
16%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
10.7
8.2
3
54%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
4.8
1.7
4
42%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
1.4
0
0-0
41%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
39.3
34.6
9
37%
3
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
38.9
37.7
18
72%
6
0
0
2
4
3
3
3
6-8
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.5
37.0
20.7
23
62%
7
2
0
0
4
3
1
6
6-6
100%
7-14
3-6
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.5
18.9
22.7
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.1
16.5
15.3
5
53%
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 23.9
32.9
24.2
22
59%
3
7
0
1
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
5-9
2-5
56%
48%
3-8
38%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
28.0
26.3
14
71%
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
14.4
13.5
1
17%
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
14.1
8.8
6
30%
2
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-9
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.9
19.6
0
4-7
55%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.5
11.9
0
1-2
51%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
5.7
0
1-1
46%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.3
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.2
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.