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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Grizzlies73%10294
30Bobcats27%9487
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
40.2
34.7
18
52%
12
0
0
1
1
2
4
8
4-5
80%
7-15
6-12
47%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
35.0
37.7
12
62%
9
7
0
1
2
0
3
6
6-6
100%
3-7
6-11
43%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
31.8
33.7
20
68%
4
2
4
2
0
4
0
4
5-6
83%
6-9
3-7
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
28.3
37.4
16
49%
4
2
3
1
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
6-12
7-15
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.9
28.2
21.6
12
46%
3
1
3
1
0
0
0
3
6-7
86%
3-10
3-6
30%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
22.8
24.5
2
33%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
21.7
15.1
5
46%
2
3
0
0
3
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
20.6
13.1
9
43%
6
0
0
0
0
4
3
3
7-8
88%
1-7
2-5
14%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.0
11.5
16.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-4
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
4.3
0
1-2
48%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.6
2.3
0
0-1
44%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.5
2.0
0
0-0
52%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.5
42.1
36.7
17
43%
5
8
0
1
1
4
1
4
5-6
83%
6-16
5-12
38%
42%
0-1
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
33.5
29.7
18
40%
9
1
1
1
0
2
2
7
2-3
67%
5-17
3-7
29%
45%
2-4
50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.1
21.7
24.5
12
71%
8
1
1
1
1
3
4
4
6-10
60%
3-4
3-7
75%
44%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.0
19.6
26.7
5
56%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.5
12.2
24.2
4
69%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
29.2
10.8
10
50%
3
3
2
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
2-5
40%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.2
26.0
17.3
4
33%
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
25.1
27.9
12
55%
4
2
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-9
4-9
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
14.5
18.3
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
42%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.4
9.8
3.2
5
54%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
3-6
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
6.2
15.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.8
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 23.4
3.3
0
0-1
39%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.