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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Mavericks42%101103
27Cavaliers58%10395
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
33
33
19
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
6-6
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
44%
3-5
60%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.5
33
25
10
10
4
1
1
0
2
2
8
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.6
32
27
15
8
1
1
0
6
3
1
7
3-4
75%
6-12
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
31
32
14
2
8
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-5
80%
5-7
4-9
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.7
11
22
0
4
0
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.8
21
22
14
6
1
0
1
2
3
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.5
19
20
9
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
3-6
50%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
18
3
10
4
5
2
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
0-1
56%
44%
0-2
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
16
13
4
5
0
0
0
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
14
12
3
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-1
100%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
7
12
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.4
6
16
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
17
1
2-4
48%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.5
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.1
39
34
4
7
3
1
1
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-11
6-10
18%
54%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
35
33
15
7
2
4
1
1
0
4
3
3-5
60%
6-13
4-8
46%
46%
0-3
0%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.7
34
35
26
0
0
1
1
1
3
0
0
2-3
67%
9-14
6-12
64%
49%
2-7
29%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.7
29
31
10
12
3
0
1
0
2
4
8
0-0
-
5-12
4-8
42%
47%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.9
28
29
16
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
7-8
88%
3-12
4-8
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.7
27
22
16
1
5
3
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
4-8
50%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
26
20
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
13
8
5
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.7
10
2
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.9
13
0
2-4
47%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
8
0
1-2
44%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
7
0
1-2
46%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
4
0
0-1
42%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.5
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.