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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pacers24%8876
2Knicks76%9888
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
35.9
31.1
20
60%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
4-7
57%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.2
34.4
28.3
14
64%
7
3
0
1
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
47%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.5
32.9
32.6
7
37%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
0-3
3-7
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
28.0
25.7
4
29%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.9
25.2
26.9
6
30%
8
1
0
0
2
6
4
4
0-0
-
3-10
4-9
30%
46%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
19.4
13.5
6
80%
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
1-4
25%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.0
19.1
21.4
5
66%
8
0
0
1
1
2
4
4
3-4
75%
1-2
2-6
50%
41%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.8
17.9
23.9
5
125%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.0
10.0
11.3
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-6
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.0
6.3
13.5
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-2
0%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
3.6
3.1
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
3.6
3.0
5
102%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.2
3.6
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
30.9
34.7
26
51%
9
0
2
1
0
0
4
5
7-8
88%
8-18
7-14
44%
47%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.4
28.9
33.8
11
37%
1
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-12
5-10
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.1
27.5
29.5
7
44%
9
1
2
1
1
1
5
4
1-2
50%
3-7
3-5
43%
62%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.7
22.6
20.6
8
57%
6
2
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.7
22.5
28.2
3
35%
2
2
1
2
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
30.5
33.2
13
60%
7
2
1
1
1
2
0
7
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
1-3
33%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.4
24.1
18.9
9
45%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
3-8
38%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.2
16.6
17.3
9
57%
7
0
0
1
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
53%
1-2
50%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.5
16.2
7.7
0
0%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.7
12.9
4.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
3.6
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.7
3.6
1.0
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
46%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.1
6.0
0
1-1
46%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.0
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.