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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nets59%10199
28Kings41%9990
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
36.4
34.6
10
36%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
8-9
89%
1-7
4-9
14%
48%
0-3
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
32.9
34.7
14
49%
5
10
2
1
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
1-5
20%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.6
28.0
30.6
13
41%
5
0
1
1
4
1
1
4
3-4
75%
5-14
7-14
36%
51%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
26.0
26.6
6
50%
10
0
3
1
2
0
3
7
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
24.5
29.4
4
67%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
49%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.6
23.4
22.4
13
82%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
3-4
75%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.5
21.9
18.9
3
104%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.2
19.5
15.2
22
88%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-1
0%
11-12
3-6
92%
45%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.0
14.8
14.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-3
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.8
12.4
13.0
14
96%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
1-1
100%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.6
0.4
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.4
11.5
0
1-2
57%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.1
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
34.4
24.3
29
61%
7
3
2
1
1
4
2
5
4-6
67%
11-20
6-12
55%
45%
1-1
100%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
31.6
28.0
21
63%
7
2
1
1
2
2
1
6
4-6
67%
7-12
4-9
58%
48%
1-2
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.9
27.8
22.1
2
33%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
26.8
31.6
8
40%
8
0
0
1
1
3
5
3
0-2
0%
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.8
18.0
17.5
4
82%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
26.4
28.2
12
43%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
3-10
30%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
19.5
16.0
4
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
16.7
22.1
4
67%
2
1
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.4
14.5
16.7
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
14.0
17.5
1
13%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
10.4
11.4
3
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
6.1
0
1-1
42%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
3.3
0
0-0
46%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.