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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors23%95109
5Thunder77%105119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
34.8
34.2
19
55%
10
5
2
1
0
2
2
8
3-3
100%
8-16
7-14
50%
49%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
33.4
30.0
22
65%
2
6
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
5-9
4-7
56%
48%
4-8
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
29.6
31.6
12
51%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-9
3-8
56%
46%
0-2
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
23.0
30.6
4
25%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-8
40%
44%
0-3
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
16.1
15.7
5
54%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
3-6
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
28.9
25.7
14
93%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
8-8
100%
3-4
5-9
75%
51%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
25.0
9.3
9
75%
5
0
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
42%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
21.6
21.9
12
75%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-7
3-6
86%
46%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
9.9
14.9
4
67%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
9.4
3.2
4
45%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-4
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
3.0
2.0
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
3.0
1.2
0
0%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
2.4
14.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
38.8
36.7
25
66%
13
10
2
1
0
2
0
13
6-7
86%
5-11
7-13
45%
54%
3-5
60%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.0
36.2
34.3
30
62%
2
7
5
1
0
1
1
1
4-5
80%
10-20
6-13
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
32.3
31.9
16
54%
8
0
0
1
2
2
3
5
2-2
100%
7-14
5-9
50%
55%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.0
26.0
23.6
3
40%
7
1
0
0
1
1
3
4
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
24.6
24.4
5
63%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.8
31.4
27.9
23
72%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
5-7
71%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.1
20.2
18.6
1
27%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
59%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.8
13.3
13.4
6
104%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.4
10.0
12.9
8
68%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.2
1.8
7.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.6
1.8
4.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.5
1.8
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.6
1.8
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.