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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Celtics53%9883
27Pistons47%97103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.7
38.5
27.4
12
86%
3
10
1
1
0
6
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
2-3
67%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.1
29.6
29.5
13
47%
4
0
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.2
29.6
26.0
5
32%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.5
20.5
24.8
15
67%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-5
60%
6-9
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
17.1
27.8
6
33%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.7
27.1
17.5
16
62%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
7-12
2-3
58%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
22.2
23.9
6
51%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
20.4
18.3
2
50%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.1
19.9
21.9
3
75%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
1-2
50%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.0
15.2
18.7
5
32%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.0
17.7
1
2-4
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.0
4.2
0
0-1
43%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 27.4
2.9
0
0-1
46%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.4
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.7
32.9
33.0
10
45%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.5
31.6
34.9
20
76%
13
3
2
1
0
3
1
12
4-5
80%
8-11
7-13
73%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.7
29.9
28.0
15
59%
6
1
1
1
1
3
2
4
5-6
83%
5-10
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.5
24.4
26.7
14
71%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
48%
1-1
100%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.0
24.4
32.8
6
77%
1
1
1
1
0
5
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
3-7
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.6
30.6
29.1
14
55%
5
5
0
1
0
0
2
3
6-6
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.9
21.3
13.2
7
58%
0
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-1
100%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.3
18.0
14.2
4
67%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
13.5
14.6
11
71%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.7
10.2
15.6
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.5
1.6
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
1.6
1.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.2
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.