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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bulls46%9894
15Trail Blazers54%100102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.7
41.0
34.0
16
67%
15
8
1
1
1
3
3
12
0-0
-
8-12
5-9
67%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
40.6
36.7
14
54%
7
4
2
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.9
28.9
25.4
6
44%
2
6
2
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.0
22.4
30.9
4
25%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
7-13
25%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.8
22.2
29.3
15
75%
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
6-7
5-10
86%
46%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
22.3
19.7
11
60%
2
0
2
0
2
4
0
2
5-5
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.2
19.6
12.4
8
67%
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.5
19.1
21.2
18
71%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
19.1
16.3
2
23%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.2
4.8
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
5.6
0
0-0
43%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.7
4.3
0
0-1
44%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
40.3
37.1
18
51%
13
1
0
1
0
2
3
10
6-8
75%
6-14
9-17
43%
50%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.9
38.3
37.9
21
71%
4
2
0
1
0
4
0
4
4-4
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
5-10
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
38.1
36.7
21
68%
3
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
7-10
3-7
70%
46%
2-5
40%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.3
32.3
35.9
16
58%
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
6-9
4-8
67%
45%
1-4
25%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.2
24.6
26.7
10
63%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
22.3
7.0
4
35%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
2-4
50%
1-4
0-1
25%
42%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.4
19.9
13.1
10
59%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
41%
1-3
33%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 21.9
9.2
2.5
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.7
8.8
18.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.0
6.3
9.7
0
0%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.2
5.2
0
0-1
46%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.3
2.3
0
0-1
42%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.