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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic19%9072
8Hawks81%10281
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.8
28.0
28.5
8
50%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
25.9
34.6
6
30%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
5-9
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
25.7
30.8
5
51%
13
2
1
1
1
1
3
10
1-2
50%
2-4
5-11
50%
45%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.9
23.7
32.6
11
38%
7
1
2
1
0
2
2
5
1-3
33%
5-13
6-15
38%
43%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.4
17.6
21.9
2
14%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.7
29.0
27.6
8
33%
3
4
0
1
2
7
1
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
41%
0-2
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.5
19.3
11.9
8
63%
8
2
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-3
0%
4-5
1-2
80%
43%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.4
15.7
4.9
2
50%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
37%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
13.4
13.7
4
40%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.6
12.3
11.9
4
52%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.4
12.3
12.8
4
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
43%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.7
10.9
13.9
8
82%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
6.3
2.0
2
53%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.4
27.4
24.8
9
50%
2
7
2
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
1-2
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.7
25.5
32.6
5
23%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
1-6
17%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
25.3
31.1
15
57%
9
3
1
1
0
2
1
8
3-5
60%
6-11
6-10
55%
55%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.7
25.3
15.4
8
57%
4
1
3
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.0
22.3
36.4
6
27%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-3
0%
3-10
8-15
30%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
27.7
24.0
14
54%
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.8
22.2
28.1
8
68%
11
1
0
1
0
2
3
8
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
21.1
8.3
7
50%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.6
17.5
14.9
9
53%
8
0
1
1
0
1
1
7
1-1
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.6
11.8
25.6
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-3
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.3
5.1
2.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.7
5.1
1.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.5
3.5
8.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.