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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Warriors35%98105
20Mavericks65%103101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
43.3
31.3
31
61%
6
9
2
1
0
4
0
6
10-10
100%
6-14
4-8
43%
48%
3-7
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
43.2
34.1
17
43%
19
3
1
1
0
3
4
15
3-6
50%
7-17
7-14
41%
50%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
41.8
27.2
7
24%
3
2
1
1
1
4
1
2
2-2
100%
1-8
3-7
13%
44%
1-6
17%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
39.7
30.3
20
59%
12
0
1
1
0
2
2
10
0-2
0%
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
4-6
67%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
21.3
15.9
9
85%
8
0
0
0
1
2
7
1
1-3
33%
4-4
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
25.5
16.1
9
78%
7
1
3
1
0
1
0
7
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
15.4
26.8
7
39%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
1-2
50%
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
15.2
21.7
2
20%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
13.4
13.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
6.2
6.2
3
61%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
0.2
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
0.1
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
9.3
0
1-1
45%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
40.6
32.6
27
62%
5
4
2
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
8-15
4-8
53%
45%
3-6
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
38.3
31.0
7
29%
0
5
3
1
0
5
0
0
2-2
100%
1-10
4-8
10%
49%
1-1
100%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.6
35.4
28.3
18
60%
17
1
1
1
2
0
3
14
8-9
89%
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.5
33.5
27.3
7
39%
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.7
14.1
18.2
5
36%
3
1
0
1
2
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.8
27.3
20.9
9
50%
2
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.6
23.9
19.0
12
86%
4
1
4
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
4-6
67%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
17.6
13.4
4
60%
5
0
0
0
3
0
1
4
0-3
0%
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
14.7
8.5
7
45%
3
4
1
0
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
2-6
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
8.8
12.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
6.7
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
4.1
10.4
3
80%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.4
12.6
0
1-2
50%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.5
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.