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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets39%9891
14Jazz61%102102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
34.3
34.3
11
43%
10
5
0
1
0
2
1
9
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
2-6
33%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
32.5
31.1
13
40%
6
3
0
2
0
3
3
3
3-3
100%
5-13
3-7
38%
45%
0-2
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
28.6
30.4
2
13%
7
0
0
1
2
3
3
4
2-6
33%
0-5
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
20.9
27.5
19
64%
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
0
2-2
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
47%
1-1
100%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
17.5
37.3
6
41%
2
3
0
1
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
0-4
5-10
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
30.2
24.0
12
59%
4
2
2
1
1
0
0
4
5-5
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
29.8
10.2
12
44%
8
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
4-4
100%
4-11
1-2
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
15.5
17.1
5
36%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
1-3
33%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
15.3
8.1
6
63%
8
0
0
0
3
0
3
5
2-4
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
14.1
3.7
5
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
39%
1-3
33%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
1.5
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.2
9.8
0
0-1
42%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.6
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.9
26.9
33.1
8
36%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.9
26.6
31.4
14
46%
16
2
1
1
1
1
4
12
6-7
86%
4-12
7-14
33%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.8
26.0
30.6
10
51%
8
1
0
1
2
0
3
5
2-2
100%
4-9
6-11
44%
52%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.2
24.3
22.1
14
59%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
4-7
57%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.3
23.2
25.4
8
46%
8
0
1
1
2
1
3
5
4-4
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
51%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.4
24.6
25.1
12
61%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
48%
3-3
100%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
21.4
12.0
6
60%
8
3
0
0
3
4
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.7
21.1
13.5
3
38%
5
11
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.7
18.6
26.4
15
53%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-5
80%
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
1-5
20%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
13.0
15.4
8
67%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.3
5.1
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.1
5.1
1.8
2
69%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
57%
0-0
-
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
4.0
0.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.4
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.