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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 20, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Raptors39%9498
1976ers61%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
42.2
33.4
24
56%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
7-8
88%
7-17
6-12
41%
45%
1-1
100%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
39.7
32.9
22
50%
7
1
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-2
0%
8-16
5-11
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
37.2
35.0
13
60%
5
12
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
25.1
20.4
11
64%
11
3
0
1
3
1
3
8
5-6
83%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
20.2
18.2
4
67%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
29.9
24.9
13
37%
7
7
0
1
0
2
1
6
3-8
38%
5-10
2-5
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
20.9
22.1
4
40%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
16.6
23.7
5
58%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
5.5
13.1
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.0
2.6
15.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
38%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.8
11.7
0
1-2
42%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.1
5.3
0
0-1
42%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
2.8
0
0-1
50%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.1
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.4
39.9
36.5
19
45%
8
12
3
2
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
8-16
5-11
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
38.6
33.3
18
61%
7
2
2
1
2
2
2
5
2-4
50%
8-13
6-11
62%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.1
33.3
33.8
12
40%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
5-14
4-10
36%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.8
32.0
28.7
21
69%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
4-9
44%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.7
5.5
12.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
29.2
19.5
23
74%
3
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
6-6
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
3-8
38%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
25.0
22.9
4
41%
6
1
0
1
4
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
16.4
21.7
6
61%
3
2
0
0
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
14.2
14.9
3
75%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-2
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.9
6.0
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.9
2.9
0
0-1
44%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.0
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.6
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.