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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Raptors53%10397
30Bobcats47%10298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
37.0
36.6
14
49%
3
2
0
1
1
5
1
2
2-3
67%
6-13
7-14
46%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
35.8
26.3
21
58%
3
8
2
1
3
3
0
3
5-7
71%
2-8
2-5
25%
46%
4-7
57%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
34.9
22.3
16
73%
10
2
0
1
1
1
2
8
0-0
-
8-11
3-7
73%
49%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
33.1
35.4
25
65%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-5
100%
7-14
6-12
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
25.1
18.9
0
0%
8
5
0
1
1
0
3
5
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
23.9
35.6
7
41%
3
4
1
1
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.8
14.9
7.9
11
61%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
46%
1-4
25%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
12.3
20.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-3
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
12.1
10.3
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
10.9
21.8
1
27%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
56%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.0
10.3
0
1-3
41%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.1
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
2.6
0
0-1
51%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.1
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.5
39.5
36.6
19
55%
3
7
1
2
3
4
0
3
2-3
67%
7-12
5-12
58%
45%
1-4
25%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.2
30.8
25.7
14
69%
3
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
6-7
86%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.5
30.0
24.4
11
62%
6
0
2
1
1
0
3
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.0
25.5
27.0
6
61%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
25.3
34.3
10
32%
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
2-4
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-5
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
33.1
28.3
14
34%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
5-16
4-9
31%
47%
0-3
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.2
25.8
17.2
11
80%
8
1
1
0
2
2
4
4
1-2
50%
5-6
1-3
83%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
22.6
16.9
13
51%
2
4
0
0
2
2
0
2
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.4
7.5
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
6.9
0
1-1
52%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.8
2.5
0
0-0
44%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 23.4
1.4
0
0-0
43%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.