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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons45%9774
27Magic55%9890
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
31.1
25.4
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.5
30.4
33.1
19
60%
8
3
2
1
0
4
2
6
9-11
82%
5-11
6-12
45%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.0
28.8
29.1
8
32%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
2-10
2-6
20%
44%
1-1
100%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.7
27.4
32.6
10
42%
8
1
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.8
25.9
28.5
4
27%
7
0
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-1
0%
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.6
25.1
29.6
13
56%
7
3
1
1
0
3
2
5
5-6
83%
4-6
3-7
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.3
18.9
15.6
4
50%
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.9
13.8
16.6
4
25%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
2-6
29%
45%
0-1
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
10.9
14.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.7
10.7
13.5
2
16%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
1-6
1-3
17%
51%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.2
9.7
1.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
3.7
4.6
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.5
3.7
2.0
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
1-1
100%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.8
32.1
28.2
10
63%
6
7
1
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.9
27.2
29.0
11
51%
14
1
0
1
0
1
3
11
3-4
75%
4-9
6-13
44%
46%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
26.0
31.1
12
41%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
2-4
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
22.4
28.5
6
50%
6
0
1
1
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.5
21.3
14.4
7
44%
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.4
28.3
20.6
11
40%
1
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
1-7
14%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
20.8
13.4
15
76%
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
7-9
2-5
78%
48%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.6
17.8
11.8
8
58%
5
3
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.7
16.8
12.6
5
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-3
33%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.7
12.2
27.7
3
38%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
7.8
3.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.4
3.7
12.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.4
3.7
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.7
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.