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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Hornets27%88107
17Pacers73%96115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.2
46.0
26.2
14
68%
10
2
1
1
0
3
3
7
2-3
67%
6-8
3-7
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.8
41.5
29.0
14
47%
5
8
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
7-13
3-8
54%
43%
0-2
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
41.1
28.0
17
77%
7
2
0
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
48%
5-5
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.6
33.5
20.0
21
43%
13
1
2
0
4
2
7
6
15-17
88%
3-17
3-6
18%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.3
32.1
29.8
6
33%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
2-6
33%
39%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.7
26.3
17.6
18
41%
7
0
0
0
1
0
4
3
2-2
100%
8-21
3-6
38%
48%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.2
18.6
18.8
6
87%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.0
13.9
18.8
6
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
39%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
7.0
9.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
5.2
13.2
5
91%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.7
17.3
0
3-6
45%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
12.4
0
1-3
40%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.2
41.5
32.0
16
50%
7
5
1
1
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
8-16
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.6
37.1
33.0
16
58%
6
7
1
1
1
0
1
5
3-4
75%
2-8
3-7
25%
51%
3-4
75%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
36.5
22.9
12
67%
5
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.9
36.5
28.4
10
34%
11
1
2
1
11
0
5
6
4-6
67%
3-12
5-9
25%
50%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
34.1
29.7
37
83%
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
9-13
69%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.0
18.2
12.2
3
52%
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.8
17.4
19.6
5
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.1
16.7
17.3
11
59%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
9-10
90%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
15.5
21.8
3
20%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
1-1
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.0
11.3
12.1
2
26%
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-2
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.2
3.0
0
0-1
51%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
2.5
0
0-1
53%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
2.4
0
0-0
48%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.