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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bucks24%97106
1Heat76%106113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
49.3
34.0
19
38%
7
6
5
2
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
8-17
4-10
47%
44%
1-8
13%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
39.4
35.6
9
28%
1
4
1
1
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
3-11
7-14
27%
46%
1-5
20%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
24.4
15.1
11
62%
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
1-4
25%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.5
19.9
18.6
10
67%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
16.7
20.5
4
29%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
28.6
30.2
16
49%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
1-1
100%
6-9
3-5
67%
49%
1-7
14%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.9
27.1
10.5
17
62%
18
0
0
0
0
2
8
10
3-4
75%
7-12
2-3
58%
46%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
24.2
22.0
7
51%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
17.3
16.3
6
50%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
12.1
7.7
7
51%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
6.1
21.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.0
4.7
0
1-1
41%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.1
2.2
0
0-0
52%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.7
42.8
33.6
24
72%
18
1
1
1
1
5
3
15
5-6
83%
8-12
6-12
67%
52%
1-2
50%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
42.5
38.5
28
57%
10
8
1
2
1
1
2
8
4-8
50%
9-17
9-17
53%
55%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.2
38.1
29.0
0
0%
7
0
0
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.8
37.8
32.2
28
57%
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
6-8
75%
11-21
7-13
52%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
22.0
24.5
9
51%
3
4
0
1
0
4
0
3
2-4
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.3
30.5
24.5
17
65%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
6-7
86%
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
18.4
18.7
2
20%
8
0
2
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
17.4
20.8
2
50%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.8
13.3
16.5
3
75%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-2
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
2.3
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
12.2
0
1-2
49%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
2.1
0
0-0
38%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.7
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.