Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Bucks	24%	97	106	101.0	105	90.8
	1	Heat	76%	106	113	106.6	106	101.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	49.3	19	38%	7	6	5	0	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	8-17	47%	1-8	13%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	39.4	9	28%	1	4	1	1	5	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-11	27%	1-5	20%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 20	24.4	11	61%	6	1	1	0	0	1	0	6	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	19.9	10	71%	5	2	0	0	0	0	2	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	16.7	4	29%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%

Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	28.6	16	50%	4	0	0	0	1	3	3	1	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	1-7	14%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	27.1	17	61%	18	0	0	0	2	4	8	10	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	24.2	7	50%	2	1	1	1	1	4	1	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 30	17.3	6	50%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	12.1	7	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Larry Sanders F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24	6.1	0	0%	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doron Lamb G · 6'4" 200 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luc Mbah a Moute #12 · F · 6'8" 230 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Drew Gooden #0 · F · 6'10" 250 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	106	47%	47	18	9	3	11	0	16	31	9-12	75%	41-80	51%	5-29	17%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	49.3	19	38%	7	6	5	0	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	8-17	47%	1-8	13%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	39.4	9	28%	1	4	1	1	5	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-11	27%	1-5	20%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 20	24.4	11	61%	6	1	1	0	0	1	0	6	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	19.9	10	71%	5	2	0	0	0	0	2	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	16.7	4	29%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%

Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	28.6	16	50%	4	0	0	0	1	3	3	1	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	1-7	14%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	27.1	17	61%	18	0	0	0	2	4	8	10	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	24.2	7	50%	2	1	1	1	1	4	1	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 30	17.3	6	50%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	12.1	7	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Larry Sanders F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24	6.1	0	0%	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doron Lamb G · 6'4" 200 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luc Mbah a Moute #12 · F · 6'8" 230 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Drew Gooden #0 · F · 6'10" 250 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	106	47%	47	18	9	3	11	0	16	31	9-12	75%	41-80	51%	5-29	17%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 29	42.8	24	71%	18	1	1	1	5	4	3	15	5-6	83%	8-12	67%	1-2	50%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	42.5	28	56%	10	8	1	1	1	3	2	8	4-8	50%	9-17	53%	2-4	50%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 34	38.1	0	0%	7	0	0	2	1	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	37.8	28	56%	3	4	2	0	2	0	1	2	6-8	75%	11-21	52%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	22.0	9	56%	3	4	0	0	4	0	0	3	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 37	30.5	17	65%	3	0	1	0	1	1	2	1	6-7	86%	1-5	20%	3-5	60%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 32	18.4	2	20%	8	0	2	0	0	2	2	6	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	17.4	2	50%	1	6	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	13.3	3	75%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 30	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Terrel Harris G · 6'4" 190 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dexter Pittman #45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh Harrellson #55 · F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	113	52%	54	25	7	4	15	0	12	42	23-33	70%	33-68	49%	8-18	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	MIA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.93 46.5%

MIA

1.05 52.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

22

40

55%

MIA

23

35

66%

Midrange

MIL

19

40

48%

MIA

10

33

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

5

7.5

29

17%

26%

MIA

8

12.0

18

44%

67%

Free Throws

MIL

9

12

75%

MIA

23

33

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Jennings	19	38%	9.5 / 25
J. Henson	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Dunleavy	16	50%	8.0 / 16
T. Harris	11	61%	5.5 / 9
S. Dalembert	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Ellis	9	28%	4.5 / 16
E. Udoh	7	50%	3.5 / 7
M. Daniels	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Udrih	6	50%	3.0 / 6
E. Ilyasova	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	28	56%	14.0 / 25
D. Wade	28	56%	14.0 / 25
C. Bosh	24	71%	12.0 / 17
R. Allen	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Chalmers	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Miller	3	75%	1.5 / 2
U. Haslem	2	20%	1.0 / 5
N. Cole	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Battier	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 103.6 1 112.1	MIL 101.0 MIA 106.6 +5.7
Pace	3 94.8 23 90.9	MIL 90.8 MIA 101.6 +10.9
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.4 10 16.0	MIL 15.9 MIA 14.2 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 47.6% 1 55.2%	MIL 44.5% MIA 52.3% +7.8%
TO %	5 14.3% 7 14.5%	MIL 8.8% −5.7% MIA 14.5%
ORB %	11 28.0% 27 22.2%	MIL 27.6% MIA 27.9% +0.3%
FTrt	27 23.6 8 29.7	MIL 11.0 MIA 38.4 +27.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.0% 13 60.0%	MIL 39.1% MIA 61.0% +21.9%
STL %	11 8.8% 4 9.5%	MIL 8.6% +2.0% MIA 6.6%
BLK %	4 10.1% 9 9.1%	MIL 4.4% MIA 5.0% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 49.7% 1 57.0%	MIL 46.5% MIA 52.3% +5.8%
Rim FG%	27 54.6% 1 65.9%	MIL 55.0% MIA 65.7% +10.7%
Mid FG%	26 36.8% 4 41.9%	MIL 47.5% +17.2% MIA 30.3%
3P %	14 36.0% 2 39.6%	MIL 17.2% MIA 44.4% +27.2%
FT %	22 73.6% 16 75.4%	MIL 75.0% +5.3% MIA 69.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 38.4% 21 34.8%	MIL 36.7% MIA 40.7% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	13 38.3% 10 36.7%	MIL 36.7% −1.7% MIA 38.4%
3P Att. %	16 23.2% 5 28.5%	MIL 26.6% +5.7% MIA 20.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Game Totals	MIL	MIA
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	27.8	25.0
Points	106	113
Rebounds	47	54
Assists	18	25
Steals	9	7
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	42 (3)
Field Goals	46-109	41-86
At-the-Rim FG	22-40	23-35
Midrange FG	19-40	10-33
2-Point FG	41-80	33-68
3-Point FG	5-29	8-18
Free Throws	9-12	23-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg