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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Bulls49%9789
13Rockets51%9893
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
42.4
37.7
19
44%
10
2
3
1
0
3
3
7
4-4
100%
6-16
5-11
38%
48%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.7
40.1
36.2
11
51%
7
4
2
1
4
2
4
3
1-4
25%
5-9
5-10
56%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.0
25.4
27.3
13
44%
15
0
1
1
1
1
3
12
1-2
50%
6-14
6-12
43%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.9
22.7
26.5
4
34%
0
6
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.8
17.5
26.1
4
20%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
30.5
20.6
9
57%
6
1
2
0
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.2
30.3
15.1
8
48%
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
2-3
67%
3-5
1-3
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.5
25.6
20.2
21
46%
5
5
0
1
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
8-15
3-6
53%
47%
1-7
14%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
5.6
17.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.2
5.0
0
1-1
49%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
3.7
0
0-0
43%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.7
3.0
0
0-1
43%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
42.4
30.3
28
71%
4
3
5
1
0
6
1
3
9-13
69%
5-7
4-8
71%
52%
3-7
43%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
39.7
33.7
18
63%
13
2
0
1
1
3
1
12
2-3
67%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
39.7
29.3
4
23%
6
2
1
1
3
4
1
5
0-2
0%
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
37.7
24.9
20
55%
8
1
1
0
1
2
1
7
3-5
60%
7-13
4-8
54%
48%
1-3
33%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
26.1
31.1
4
22%
4
3
1
2
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
0-2
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
21.9
16.3
11
73%
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
8-8
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
18.3
10.5
8
57%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
14.1
25.6
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
17.0
0
2-5
46%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.2
7.9
0
0-1
44%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
7.3
0
0-1
41%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
5.4
0
1-1
50%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.6
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.