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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Knicks62%98111
22Mavericks38%94114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
40.6
30.8
23
59%
6
4
1
1
0
7
0
6
7-8
88%
5-12
6-14
42%
46%
2-4
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.1
39.4
24.4
21
87%
13
1
1
1
1
2
5
8
5-7
71%
8-9
3-5
89%
61%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.4
39.3
30.4
18
53%
2
11
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
4-9
55%
45%
2-6
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.7
35.8
25.1
17
96%
6
5
5
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
41%
5-8
63%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.7
22.0
22.1
4
52%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
1-1
100%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
32.2
30.6
14
49%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
1-4
25%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.2
17.6
17.2
11
61%
7
1
2
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.4
13.2
22.5
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.5
11.9
0
1-2
44%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.7
9.3
0
1-2
43%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
7.7
0
1-2
48%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.1
3.8
0
0-1
45%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.7
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.4
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
35.8
33.6
27
70%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
4-5
80%
7-10
4-9
70%
44%
3-7
43%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.5
33.9
28.2
7
58%
7
3
2
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
33.5
31.9
19
74%
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.6
27.5
29.1
10
48%
5
1
0
0
1
3
1
4
0-1
0%
5-10
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.6
17.8
19.6
2
26%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-3
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.8
22.8
22.0
25
68%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
5-10
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.4
20.9
8.9
12
87%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
3-5
60%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.7
20.4
16.1
4
52%
8
3
2
0
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
14.5
10.5
4
22%
6
5
0
0
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
2-9
1-3
22%
43%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
13.0
10.6
4
52%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
14.1
0
1-3
47%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
10.3
0
1-2
48%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
8.2
0
1-2
57%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.4
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.