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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Lakers66%10297
28Kings34%96113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.0
40.6
37.4
7
61%
9
3
2
1
1
2
1
8
3-4
75%
2-4
7-12
50%
59%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.2
38.8
36.3
38
74%
3
3
2
1
0
7
0
3
11-13
85%
6-11
7-14
55%
49%
5-9
56%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
37.3
36.5
8
34%
9
4
1
1
2
3
1
8
1-4
25%
2-9
6-12
22%
50%
1-1
100%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.0
36.5
34.1
13
55%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
2-5
40%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.9
31.1
25.3
12
79%
1
2
0
1
0
5
0
1
5-6
83%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.3
17.0
17.4
3
26%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
1-4
25%
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.2
16.4
20.2
1
27%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
15.8
10.8
15
76%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
3-6
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.4
5.5
13.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-2
0%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.5
1.1
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.1
3.5
0
0-1
47%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.8
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Darius Johnson-Odom
G · 6'2" 215 · 23.1
0.9
0
0-0
47%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.8
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
40.5
29.1
13
50%
10
1
1
1
1
1
4
6
1-2
50%
6-11
4-8
55%
51%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.9
31.2
24.2
13
50%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
2-4
50%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
28.8
29.2
18
71%
4
6
0
1
1
5
1
3
4-4
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
22.0
17.5
13
69%
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
2-5
40%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
21.2
28.7
7
35%
8
2
0
1
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
3-9
7-15
33%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
27.9
27.1
23
78%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
3-5
60%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.4
22.9
15.7
10
85%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
19.1
19.6
6
55%
0
5
2
1
1
2
0
0
0-1
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
16.2
16.1
6
80%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
10.2
17.5
4
67%
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
0.1
10.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
4.9
0
0-1
41%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
2.9
0
0-0
47%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.