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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Nets42%10293
21Warriors58%104102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
38.1
36.8
13
50%
1
6
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
46%
3-5
60%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
34.7
34.3
9
36%
3
8
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
0-5
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.6
27.9
32.1
22
64%
3
0
1
1
3
0
1
2
2-3
67%
10-16
8-15
63%
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
27.2
26.6
10
83%
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
4-8
83%
47%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.5
21.8
9.1
6
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
2-3
67%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.6
19.9
21.0
2
17%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
40%
0-4
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
19.3
14.5
11
49%
7
4
2
1
0
2
3
4
3-3
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.4
18.5
4.2
8
68%
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
56%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.5
13.8
19.5
1
27%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.8
10.4
9.0
9
51%
2
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
6.7
2.9
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.1
0.9
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.6
0.9
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
42.8
35.2
20
67%
13
6
0
1
0
4
4
9
0-0
-
10-15
7-14
67%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
41.6
33.5
25
72%
6
4
0
1
0
2
0
6
9-10
90%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
2-4
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
37.9
30.5
23
61%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
7-13
3-7
54%
46%
3-6
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
28.2
31.5
9
54%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-3
67%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
16.1
16.8
6
43%
5
0
0
0
1
2
5
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
51%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
27.9
21.8
11
70%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
53%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
24.1
18.6
5
37%
3
9
2
0
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
14.0
18.2
3
75%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-2
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
6.1
12.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
1.2
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
6.6
0
0-1
47%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
1.6
0
0-1
47%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
1.3
0
0-0
45%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.