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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Hawks70%103101
30Bobcats30%9591
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
39.0
33.4
26
75%
13
2
0
1
3
2
5
8
0-1
0%
13-17
6-11
76%
54%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.0
38.4
33.7
10
36%
4
8
2
1
2
5
0
4
2-4
50%
4-12
7-14
33%
49%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.6
35.8
15.3
9
57%
6
2
0
0
1
4
0
6
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
3-6
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.7
30.3
33.1
16
80%
6
2
1
1
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
4-6
67%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.5
29.3
32.5
13
50%
3
12
1
2
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-9
5-9
22%
50%
3-4
75%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.1
25.9
20.8
6
50%
1
1
0
1
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.7
17.6
24.3
8
55%
0
1
1
1
3
0
0
0
1-3
33%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.8
13.7
21.7
9
78%
7
1
1
1
1
3
2
5
3-4
75%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
5.0
9.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.6
4.9
11.1
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.5
4.6
0
0-1
51%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.7
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.4
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.5
44.1
37.0
16
49%
4
9
2
2
0
4
0
4
2-3
67%
4-9
5-12
44%
43%
2-6
33%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
36.6
30.0
12
38%
8
2
6
1
2
4
3
5
4-4
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
45%
0-3
0%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.5
35.9
26.3
16
58%
2
0
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
45%
4-6
67%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.2
33.9
27.5
11
46%
7
0
2
1
4
1
0
7
1-2
50%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.0
22.0
25.9
8
80%
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
29.2
29.7
22
55%
4
4
2
1
0
0
0
4
8-11
73%
4-11
4-10
36%
45%
2-4
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.2
19.4
20.7
2
53%
6
0
1
0
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
16.0
19.3
4
23%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.4
2.9
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
5.0
0
0-1
49%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.8
2.2
0
0-0
43%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 23.4
1.1
0
0-0
41%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.