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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
November 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Cavaliers
104
26Magic
108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.0
36.7
33.0
25
54%
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
42%
4-11
36%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.2
36.5
34.8
19
61%
17
3
1
1
0
3
11
6
5-6
83%
7-13
5-10
54%
53%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
31.1
35.8
12
41%
2
3
2
2
1
5
0
2
5-6
83%
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
1-5
20%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.7
30.1
22.3
15
54%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
2-5
60%
41%
1-4
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.7
28.3
27.0
6
50%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
30.4
22.3
13
52%
9
0
1
1
0
1
3
6
5-8
63%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.7
25.0
10.6
3
35%
0
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-2
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
18.3
13.8
11
70%
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
2-3
67%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
2.8
17.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-1
0%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.9
0.8
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.5
8.7
0
1-3
48%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
1.7
0
0-0
39%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.9
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
36.5
28.9
19
71%
1
2
1
1
0
4
1
0
1-3
33%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
4-6
67%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.9
35.2
28.1
16
47%
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
6-7
86%
5-14
6-13
36%
46%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.8
34.7
29.7
22
61%
6
6
2
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
4-8
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
32.4
26.0
10
45%
8
2
0
1
2
3
4
4
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.5
15.9
16.9
6
75%
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.4
30.5
24.0
18
72%
2
6
0
0
0
3
0
2
8-8
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
2-5
40%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.7
16.3
21.9
7
88%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.6
15.1
13.9
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
12.6
16.0
4
106%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.7
10.9
14.2
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.4
9.2
0
1-2
48%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.4
7.1
0
1-2
42%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
5.2
0
0-1
48%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.7
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.