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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs60%97104
15Pacers40%9397
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
37.2
32.4
33
67%
1
10
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
15-22
6-13
68%
49%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
34.1
33.0
9
46%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-6
17%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
31.1
30.7
22
55%
17
1
1
1
0
0
3
14
2-2
100%
10-19
6-12
53%
49%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
28.1
20.7
8
59%
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
14.8
18.3
4
69%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.3
28.1
24.3
19
48%
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
1
4-4
100%
6-11
2-4
55%
51%
1-7
14%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
26.0
20.6
2
100%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
21.7
21.2
5
66%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-2
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
8.7
6.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
5.2
8.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.4
5.2
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
5.3
0
0-1
43%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
4.3
0
0-1
40%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.6
34.4
32.8
11
36%
4
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
0-5
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
34.1
29.9
15
50%
4
2
0
1
1
3
1
3
1-2
50%
4-12
3-6
33%
47%
2-2
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.2
30.0
33.5
22
62%
8
3
0
1
0
1
3
5
8-11
73%
7-13
6-13
54%
49%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.0
29.7
29.8
10
28%
11
2
0
1
2
0
7
4
0-0
-
5-18
5-10
28%
47%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
24.7
26.4
9
90%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
1-1
100%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
20.4
18.7
6
51%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.1
18.0
16.6
3
39%
12
0
0
1
1
1
4
8
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.1
17.4
11.4
7
44%
3
1
1
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.8
16.4
18.2
6
60%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
2-3
67%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.0
14.8
13.6
8
54%
1
8
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
1.9
0
0-0
51%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
1.9
0
0-0
43%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.