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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Knicks62%100103
13Rockets38%96131
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
34.5
33.6
37
74%
4
2
0
1
0
7
1
3
2-2
100%
7-12
7-14
58%
47%
7-12
58%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.4
30.4
32.9
17
72%
0
8
1
1
1
4
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
4-6
67%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.1
28.1
29.2
6
75%
7
1
0
1
3
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-4
4-6
75%
62%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.7
27.7
28.1
7
60%
5
5
1
2
2
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.7
15.3
21.8
4
67%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
35.0
30.7
12
36%
5
2
2
1
1
1
0
5
7-8
88%
1-11
4-9
9%
46%
1-2
50%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.4
25.2
19.1
9
56%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
3-7
43%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.5
17.6
8.3
5
36%
4
4
2
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
1-6
17%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.1
9.6
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
8.7
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.7
8.0
2.0
6
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.2
17.0
1
2-4
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.7
6.7
0
1-2
43%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.4
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
39.4
34.2
33
75%
4
9
1
1
1
3
0
4
16-16
100%
4-10
5-9
40%
52%
3-5
60%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
34.9
29.0
13
54%
7
3
2
2
0
4
0
7
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
34.2
35.4
31
87%
5
4
4
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
9-10
3-6
90%
49%
4-7
57%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
29.7
32.6
18
62%
14
3
0
1
1
2
4
10
6-8
75%
6-11
3-7
55%
48%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
20.2
29.3
10
71%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
5-10
71%
47%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
26.1
5.0
9
50%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
41%
3-6
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
17.3
18.2
11
80%
2
1
0
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
3-4
75%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
17.3
21.1
4
29%
4
2
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
14.3
13.4
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
6.6
11.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.2
6.7
0
0-1
43%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.6
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.