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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Warriors32%9991
9Nuggets68%105102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
35.8
32.9
16
67%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
44%
4-7
57%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
35.3
37.4
21
51%
10
3
3
1
0
2
1
9
3-4
75%
9-19
7-15
47%
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
25.8
36.1
6
60%
1
3
0
2
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
4-9
0%
49%
2-2
100%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
17.6
16.4
0
0%
10
0
0
0
3
0
1
9
0-2
0%
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
15.1
29.9
4
34%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
34.5
20.5
17
50%
0
4
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
47%
1-5
20%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
30.3
23.9
19
65%
8
4
1
0
1
2
4
4
7-8
88%
6-11
4-8
55%
52%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
21.2
16.4
0
0%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
11.6
10.5
0
0%
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
11.5
4.1
8
80%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
0.7
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
0.7
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
5.1
0
0-1
45%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
39.0
33.1
29
67%
6
2
0
1
2
0
2
4
4-6
67%
8-13
4-8
62%
48%
3-6
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.1
37.3
33.4
18
59%
2
9
2
1
0
4
0
2
3-5
60%
6-9
5-9
67%
52%
1-4
25%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
36.1
31.3
9
44%
11
1
2
1
1
1
3
8
1-5
20%
4-8
5-10
50%
55%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
35.5
32.8
20
44%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
4-6
67%
8-15
4-8
53%
47%
0-5
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.7
18.8
21.9
2
33%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.8
24.7
17.2
6
34%
6
0
0
0
3
1
2
4
2-4
50%
2-7
4-7
29%
55%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.7
22.1
19.3
9
41%
1
2
4
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
0-3
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.7
22.0
25.9
6
77%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
4.7
14.8
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.4
4.2
0
1-1
51%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.4
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.