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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings31%96102
16Jazz69%102104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
33.4
24.9
14
51%
7
4
0
1
2
4
1
6
4-6
67%
5-11
6-13
45%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
32.9
34.2
11
58%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
31.8
19.4
17
94%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
3-4
75%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
30.6
28.8
19
51%
4
5
2
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
47%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
30.5
27.1
4
40%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
20.3
27.1
18
67%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
3-4
75%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
16.9
5.6
10
63%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
1-1
0%
43%
3-4
75%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
15.5
19.3
3
80%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
14.7
19.2
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
13.4
13.9
4
40%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
16.3
0
1-3
47%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
2.7
0
0-0
46%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.9
33.6
29.4
19
60%
8
2
1
1
1
0
3
5
3-4
75%
8-14
6-13
57%
51%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.4
33.5
24.7
20
66%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
7-7
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
1-5
20%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.8
19.7
28.8
10
48%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
4-9
5-10
44%
52%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.2
19.2
22.6
8
67%
1
3
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
2-5
40%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.9
7.6
30.5
1
35%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-1
4-8
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.7
30.9
16.2
2
26%
6
12
2
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.7
29.6
23.5
23
58%
3
2
1
1
1
4
0
3
9-9
100%
7-14
3-5
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.4
28.3
24.4
16
49%
14
0
2
1
2
0
9
5
2-3
67%
7-15
4-7
47%
50%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
14.5
14.5
4
69%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
13.6
15.4
1
13%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.5
9.6
10.1
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.3
4.4
0
1-1
45%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.1
3.4
0
0-1
57%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.2
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.