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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats34%94108
27Wizards66%99106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.5
46.9
39.4
12
29%
7
8
2
2
0
2
2
5
6-8
75%
3-14
5-12
21%
43%
0-3
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
45.8
32.4
27
78%
8
2
1
1
2
2
0
8
4-5
80%
4-4
4-9
100%
44%
5-11
45%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.0
36.9
24.1
2
50%
5
2
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.5
36.5
29.8
12
69%
3
0
2
1
0
3
1
2
4-6
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.2
24.4
29.8
10
50%
8
3
2
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
5-10
4-9
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
40.9
29.3
21
56%
5
3
4
1
0
2
1
4
9-11
82%
6-12
4-10
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
30.8
18.0
19
64%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
4-6
67%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.4
10.4
5.7
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.8
9.4
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
8.0
4.3
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.2
20.1
0
2-3
47%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 23.4
1.3
0
0-0
38%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.4
39.6
23.9
13
47%
10
5
0
1
2
1
2
8
4-4
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
3-9
33%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.1
35.0
22.4
9
29%
4
6
1
1
0
5
2
2
1-1
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
47%
0-4
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.0
22.4
24.6
6
30%
5
0
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-10
6-10
30%
53%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.2
22.0
19.3
8
82%
4
0
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.6
10.0
13.7
2
69%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
35.1
14.0
21
69%
4
3
2
0
1
0
0
4
10-12
83%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
3-8
38%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.0
32.6
19.1
13
42%
12
1
4
1
0
0
6
6
7-10
70%
3-11
1-3
27%
47%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.2
29.1
18.9
19
64%
5
3
2
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
8-13
4-7
62%
57%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
22.4
27.3
2
26%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
3-7
-
46%
0-3
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
21.3
16.9
11
53%
7
0
0
0
1
2
3
4
3-3
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
54%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.1
20.4
26.7
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 31.3
5.2
0
1-2
43%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
4.5
0
0-1
46%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.