for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Cavaliers10%92108
1Heat90%109110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.0
37.5
34.1
16
51%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
4-10
40%
40%
3-9
33%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.2
35.1
35.3
10
41%
15
4
4
1
0
1
5
10
6-7
86%
2-8
5-11
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.7
33.0
25.2
16
48%
1
7
1
1
0
4
0
1
6-8
75%
2-9
3-6
22%
39%
2-4
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
28.8
33.3
12
59%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-5
60%
3-6
3-8
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.7
22.6
27.4
13
82%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
6-7
3-8
86%
43%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.7
28.1
18.0
11
58%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
37%
2-7
29%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
20.8
25.5
5
36%
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
17.7
11.4
10
71%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
2-4
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
15.0
16.0
15
97%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
4-4
100%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.5
6.5
0
1-2
45%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.9
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
2.6
0
0-1
41%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
1.8
0
0-0
40%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.7
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
40.0
37.7
30
75%
6
5
0
2
1
7
1
5
8-9
89%
8-11
9-16
73%
57%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.7
36.4
35.6
23
69%
7
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
11-13
85%
6-11
6-12
55%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
34.3
32.7
18
46%
7
4
1
1
2
4
1
6
6-10
60%
6-15
7-14
40%
53%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
32.5
22.2
4
52%
4
3
3
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.2
21.1
31.0
9
90%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
3-5
60%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.3
22.7
25.5
17
69%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
19.3
17.8
2
100%
5
3
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.8
14.3
14.2
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
12.9
18.2
2
33%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
5.2
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
6.9
0
1-1
50%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.7
4.7
0
1-1
52%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
1.7
0
0-0
40%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.8
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.