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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Bulls48%9993
13Bucks52%10086
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.7
41.6
37.5
9
47%
9
5
1
1
1
2
3
6
5-6
83%
2-7
5-10
29%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
41.6
39.4
14
47%
8
2
0
1
0
0
4
4
2-2
100%
3-9
6-12
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.8
36.1
21.8
22
49%
3
3
1
1
0
6
1
2
10-10
100%
6-18
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.0
35.9
26.2
22
69%
19
1
0
1
1
3
8
11
2-2
100%
10-15
6-12
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.9
31.5
24.7
10
46%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
2-7
29%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.2
18.7
21.9
6
38%
7
0
0
1
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.5
16.5
22.4
4
29%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
14.0
25.1
4
69%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
4.1
11.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.2
3.0
0
0-1
48%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
2.5
0
0-0
43%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.7
2.1
0
0-0
43%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
37.9
37.8
23
53%
1
7
5
2
0
3
0
1
2-4
50%
9-15
5-11
60%
45%
1-5
20%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
35.6
34.9
17
46%
6
2
0
1
2
1
2
4
3-3
100%
7-16
6-13
44%
47%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
29.8
18.4
6
38%
6
3
1
1
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
20.2
18.0
10
71%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
51%
0-1
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.1
17.1
1.9
0
0%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
29.2
14.6
8
44%
8
2
2
1
4
0
1
7
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
27.8
27.8
7
39%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
1-4
25%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
18.6
21.7
3
39%
8
1
0
1
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
15.9
15.9
12
52%
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
0
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
1-4
25%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
6.7
9.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.9
1.3
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.5
18.0
0
3-5
51%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.