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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Jazz57%10097
26Kings43%98108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.8
35.5
24.4
13
48%
8
3
1
1
0
5
3
5
5-6
83%
4-10
4-9
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.2
30.9
20.8
17
67%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-6
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
4-6
67%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.9
30.8
31.4
14
47%
6
2
1
1
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
7-14
7-14
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.7
30.8
23.7
14
88%
2
7
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
4-6
67%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.4
30.5
28.9
8
52%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.7
19.1
26.8
8
38%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
5-6
83%
0-4
3-7
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.5
17.2
10.6
6
75%
3
5
4
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.4
15.7
26.3
2
15%
4
1
0
1
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
0-5
4-8
0%
49%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
15.6
14.6
6
61%
4
0
3
0
2
2
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
14.0
14.6
9
51%
7
1
0
0
0
0
4
3
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.9
18.9
1
2-5
46%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.3
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.1
2.6
0
0-1
57%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.2
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
36.6
29.4
27
64%
5
5
2
1
0
2
1
4
9-9
100%
9-16
5-10
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
33.5
33.3
16
55%
9
2
0
1
1
1
4
5
4-6
67%
6-12
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
31.7
24.6
13
108%
0
2
4
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
3-4
75%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
29.5
28.7
14
55%
9
3
0
1
0
2
4
5
2-4
50%
6-10
6-14
60%
45%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
28.4
28.2
8
50%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
19.1
23.9
9
40%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
2-5
40%
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
1-6
17%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
16.9
17.5
5
87%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
16.1
17.3
3
39%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
15.4
13.9
9
92%
4
1
0
0
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
7.1
10.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
5.6
11.0
4
106%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
4.0
0
0-1
41%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
2.8
0
0-0
46%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.