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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs65%104111
20Raptors35%99106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
48.0
32.9
13
50%
9
2
1
1
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
3-10
30%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
46.0
34.0
32
56%
6
5
1
1
0
4
0
6
3-4
75%
13-23
7-14
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
41.1
30.5
26
57%
5
6
0
1
3
2
1
4
4-4
100%
11-21
6-13
52%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
29.5
23.6
4
29%
7
1
0
0
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
1-3
33%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
16.1
17.0
2
20%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.3
36.2
25.7
15
45%
7
5
1
1
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
52%
1-7
14%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
33.9
22.6
11
55%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-9
1-2
44%
53%
1-1
100%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
21.3
21.3
5
40%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
3-5
60%
1-4
3-6
25%
59%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.4
6.6
7.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
5.9
7.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
5.3
7.6
3
75%
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-2
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
3.9
0
0-1
44%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.4
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
51.3
34.9
29
46%
7
3
3
1
0
1
1
6
7-8
88%
11-26
6-13
42%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
45.5
29.1
20
56%
8
4
1
1
1
1
2
6
4-4
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
45%
4-8
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
39.4
27.4
22
72%
7
3
0
1
3
3
0
7
4-5
80%
9-13
4-8
69%
49%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
36.4
35.0
4
10%
8
1
1
1
1
2
1
7
0-1
0%
2-12
6-12
17%
47%
0-7
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
15.8
20.4
0
0%
7
0
1
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
41.2
25.5
9
30%
2
9
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-9
2-4
22%
48%
1-5
20%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
21.6
10.7
15
63%
14
0
0
0
0
0
8
6
1-2
50%
7-11
1-3
64%
52%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.8
20.7
12.8
3
38%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
18.2
17.5
4
34%
5
0
0
0
2
2
3
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
55%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
20.0
0
2-4
47%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.0
5.4
0
1-1
40%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.1
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.