Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Spurs	65%	104	111	99.1	112	95.5
	20	Raptors	35%	99	106	97.2	109	87.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Green F · 6'6" 215 · 25	48.0	13	50%	9	2	1	1	1	2	1	8	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-10	30%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 31	46.0	32	55%	6	5	1	0	4	2	0	6	3-4	75%	13-23	57%	1-4	25%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 37	41.1	26	57%	5	6	0	3	2	2	1	4	4-4	100%	11-21	52%	0-0	-
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	29.5	4	33%	7	1	0	0	1	2	0	7	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
DeJuan Blair C · 6'7" 270 · 24	16.1	2	20%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 35	36.2	15	47%	7	5	1	0	0	2	0	7	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	1-7	14%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31	33.9	11	55%	4	4	0	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-1	100%
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28	21.3	5	42%	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	3-5	60%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 25	6.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	5.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 24	5.3	3	75%	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Anderson G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kawhi Leonard #2 · F · 6'6" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Stephen Jackson #3 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	111	48%	52	25	4	5	11	0	8	44	15-19	79%	36-76	47%	8-27	30%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Green F · 6'6" 215 · 25	48.0	13	50%	9	2	1	1	1	2	1	8	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-10	30%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 31	46.0	32	55%	6	5	1	0	4	2	0	6	3-4	75%	13-23	57%	1-4	25%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 37	41.1	26	57%	5	6	0	3	2	2	1	4	4-4	100%	11-21	52%	0-0	-
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	29.5	4	33%	7	1	0	0	1	2	0	7	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
DeJuan Blair C · 6'7" 270 · 24	16.1	2	20%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 35	36.2	15	47%	7	5	1	0	0	2	0	7	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	1-7	14%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31	33.9	11	55%	4	4	0	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-1	100%
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28	21.3	5	42%	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	3-5	60%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 25	6.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	5.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 24	5.3	3	75%	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Anderson G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kawhi Leonard #2 · F · 6'6" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Stephen Jackson #3 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	111	48%	52	25	4	5	11	0	8	44	15-19	79%	36-76	47%	8-27	30%

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20 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	51.3	29	45%	7	3	3	0	1	2	1	6	7-8	88%	11-26	42%	0-2	0%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	45.5	20	56%	8	4	1	1	1	5	2	6	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	4-8	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 21	39.4	22	79%	7	3	0	3	3	4	0	7	4-5	80%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Andrea Bargnani F · 7'0" 245 · 27	36.4	4	11%	8	1	1	1	2	3	1	7	0-1	0%	2-12	17%	0-7	0%
Dominic McGuire F · 6'9" 235 · 27	15.8	0	0%	7	0	1	1	1	2	0	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	41.2	9	30%	2	9	0	0	2	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	1-5	20%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	21.6	15	63%	14	0	0	0	0	1	8	6	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	20.7	3	38%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26	18.2	4	33%	5	0	0	2	2	4	3	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Landry Fields #2 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alan Anderson #6 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	290	106	43%	61	21	6	8	12	0	17	44	20-24	83%	34-86	40%	6-24	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.97 48.3%

TOR

0.85 42.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

25

45

56%

TOR

19

39

49%

Midrange

SAS

11

31

35%

TOR

15

47

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

8

12.0

27

30%

44%

TOR

6

9.0

24

25%

38%

Free Throws

SAS

15

19

79%

TOR

20

24

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	32	55%	16.0 / 29
T. Duncan	26	57%	13.0 / 23
M. Ginobili	15	47%	7.5 / 16
D. Green	13	50%	6.5 / 13
B. Diaw	11	55%	5.5 / 10
T. Splitter	5	42%	2.5 / 6
G. Neal	4	33%	2.0 / 6
P. Mills	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Blair	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	29	45%	14.5 / 32
J. Valančiūnas	22	79%	11.0 / 14
K. Lowry	20	56%	10.0 / 18
E. Davis	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Calderon	9	30%	4.5 / 15
A. Bargnani	4	11%	2.0 / 19
A. Johnson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Ross	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. McGuire	0	-	0.0 / 0

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 107.8 16 105.6	SAS 99.1 +1.9 TOR 97.2
Pace	5 94.7 24 90.7	SAS 95.5 +8.0 TOR 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.4 8 16.2	SAS 15.1 −1.4 TOR 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 53.1% 18 48.8%	SAS 46.6% +7.5% TOR 39.1%
TO %	9 14.8% 6 14.4%	SAS 9.7% TOR 9.7%
ORB %	29 20.7% 19 25.6%	SAS 15.4% TOR 27.9% +12.5%
FTrt	21 25.8 13 27.4	SAS 18.4 TOR 21.8 +3.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 64.1% 19 59.2%	SAS 56.8% +4.3% TOR 52.5%
STL %	8 8.9% 21 7.9%	SAS 3.6% TOR 5.5% +1.9%
BLK %	13 8.1% 16 7.9%	SAS 5.8% TOR 10.5% +4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 55.3% 16 51.9%	SAS 48.3% +5.6% TOR 42.7%
Rim FG%	5 60.8% 7 59.3%	SAS 55.6% +6.9% TOR 48.7%
Mid FG%	2 42.4% 16 39.2%	SAS 35.5% +3.6% TOR 31.9%
3P %	4 37.6% 26 34.3%	SAS 29.6% +4.6% TOR 25.0%
FT %	3 79.1% 5 78.8%	SAS 78.9% TOR 83.3% +4.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 37.7% 27 32.6%	SAS 43.7% +8.2% TOR 35.5%
Mid Att. %	7 35.9% 21 42.5%	SAS 30.1% −12.6% TOR 42.7%
3P Att. %	9 26.4% 10 24.9%	SAS 26.2% +4.4% TOR 21.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	TOR
Possessions	112	109
Possession Minutes	28.1	29.9
Points	111	106
Rebounds	52	61
Assists	25	21
Steals	4	6
Blocks	5	8
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	17 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (3)	44 (4)
Field Goals	44-103	40-110
At-the-Rim FG	25-45	19-39
Midrange FG	11-31	15-47
2-Point FG	36-76	34-86
3-Point FG	8-27	6-24
Free Throws	15-19	20-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg