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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Suns40%96101
1876ers60%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
32.3
20.5
21
69%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
5-5
100%
8-13
3-7
62%
45%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
29.4
30.7
10
50%
3
4
2
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
2-5
40%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.2
26.2
25.9
8
44%
10
2
0
1
1
0
2
8
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.8
25.9
25.3
18
68%
7
2
0
1
1
2
1
6
4-5
80%
7-11
4-7
64%
54%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.0
23.1
23.3
4
27%
2
7
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.4
24.7
24.1
7
58%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.1
22.1
20.6
11
53%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.6
21.8
19.4
10
46%
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
7
4-4
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.5
18.8
16.1
12
68%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
43%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.6
15.7
24.4
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
2.1
0
0-0
41%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
1.9
0
0-0
40%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.6
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
39.0
35.3
33
67%
3
13
0
1
0
2
1
2
6-8
75%
12-19
5-11
63%
47%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
35.8
37.0
10
63%
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-2
0%
5-7
7-13
71%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.8
34.1
23.3
8
57%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.1
31.9
35.0
16
51%
9
3
0
1
0
2
1
8
5-6
83%
1-8
5-11
13%
46%
3-5
60%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
26.1
20.5
11
58%
6
1
0
0
2
0
2
4
1-1
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
20.4
18.6
6
60%
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
19.9
21.7
8
65%
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
12.5
24.2
3
38%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.0
7.2
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.6
7.1
3.5
7
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.7
5.6
11.0
2
41%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.9
0.4
3.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.9
5.5
0
0-1
42%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.