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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hornets26%9584
9Nuggets74%103102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
31.1
34.7
16
58%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
3-6
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.7
26.2
28.4
14
51%
5
1
2
1
4
0
4
1
2-4
50%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.9
24.7
33.9
6
38%
5
6
1
1
0
6
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.2
15.1
33.3
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.2
14.5
23.4
3
38%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.3
33.5
23.1
5
25%
6
6
2
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-8
2-5
13%
40%
1-2
50%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
26.5
5.7
7
72%
8
2
0
0
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.0
23.3
13.3
17
64%
2
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
7-10
2-4
70%
41%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.7
18.5
12.0
6
38%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
48%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
15.1
12.0
3
23%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-6
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
11.6
9.6
5
34%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-3
33%
2-6
1-3
33%
41%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.7
10.3
0
2-4
47%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
31.2
34.8
23
72%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
4-7
57%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
3-4
75%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.1
28.5
34.6
17
81%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
8-9
5-9
89%
53%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
27.4
32.7
14
88%
12
0
2
1
2
0
2
10
0-0
-
7-8
5-10
88%
57%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
26.4
33.3
9
46%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.8
20.8
20.4
4
52%
4
2
1
1
5
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
55%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.7
27.8
20.4
8
37%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.7
20.9
24.1
4
72%
1
7
1
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.4
15.9
3.3
4
50%
7
0
0
0
2
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
12.0
10.5
7
58%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
1-3
33%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
11.3
20.1
8
43%
6
1
0
0
1
1
2
4
2-3
67%
3-8
4-8
38%
56%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
10.9
2.7
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.4
6.9
1.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
1.6
0
0-0
50%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.0
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.