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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs70%100118
28Wizards30%9392
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
26.1
24.0
13
59%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
48%
3-4
75%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
23.3
31.8
14
64%
5
4
0
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
7-11
7-14
64%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
22.1
35.4
15
64%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
6-10
7-15
60%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
16.9
35.3
2
33%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
16.0
15.8
5
36%
7
0
1
1
0
3
4
3
1-2
50%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
23.3
19.8
15
88%
12
7
2
1
2
1
3
9
7-8
88%
4-5
3-5
80%
58%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
22.7
24.6
16
91%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
5-6
2-3
83%
53%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
20.6
6.7
8
67%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.3
20.4
27.4
12
75%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
2-3
67%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
16.3
7.0
11
92%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.4
15.6
6.7
4
52%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
9.4
3.9
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
7.3
2.7
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.1
33.2
21.8
11
59%
5
7
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
3-6
1-3
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.0
31.6
21.3
18
47%
7
0
4
0
2
3
4
3
0-0
-
9-19
4-9
47%
50%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.4
30.4
27.8
11
37%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
4-12
2-6
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
23.0
17.1
4
50%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
16.6
22.6
5
46%
4
1
1
1
0
2
3
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
24.8
21.0
16
87%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
4-5
80%
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
2-3
67%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.1
20.7
25.2
19
59%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
8-14
3-8
57%
45%
1-2
50%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
18.4
3.3
6
31%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
42%
0-4
0%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.0
17.6
22.5
2
17%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 31.3
15.9
3.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.6
7.8
11.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.2
21.8
1
4-8
55%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.2
18.4
1
2-4
46%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.