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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 26, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Trail Blazers46%99101
27Pistons54%101108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
40.6
21.0
32
61%
10
2
3
1
3
1
6
4
8-10
80%
12-21
5-9
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
37.8
35.9
7
35%
10
2
1
1
0
2
1
9
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
52%
1-3
33%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.4
36.9
32.8
12
31%
3
7
1
1
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
3-13
4-8
23%
47%
1-5
20%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
36.9
35.2
19
60%
2
3
3
1
2
1
0
2
6-9
67%
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
3-7
43%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.2
27.9
29.9
9
44%
8
2
0
1
1
1
5
3
1-3
33%
4-8
5-9
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 21.9
21.4
7.4
12
68%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
1-2
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.7
20.5
22.2
8
82%
4
0
0
1
3
1
2
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.4
11.2
16.7
2
50%
3
6
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
7.0
16.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.0
9.7
0
0-1
44%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
9.0
0
1-2
46%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
4.0
0
0-1
42%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.3
2.6
0
0-1
43%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.2
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
35.9
27.6
16
108%
10
5
2
0
1
0
2
8
1-1
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
51%
3-3
100%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.8
33.7
23.9
11
56%
5
3
1
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.5
32.9
32.0
20
51%
10
3
1
1
1
3
3
7
4-8
50%
8-16
6-12
50%
53%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.0
32.5
29.7
26
68%
6
2
0
1
0
5
1
5
5-5
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
45%
3-6
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.7
31.1
32.8
10
51%
4
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.6
23.5
20.2
11
75%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
16.0
13.7
0
0%
2
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-1
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.3
15.1
11.3
10
83%
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.3
14.2
19.5
2
17%
6
0
0
1
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
53%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.9
5.1
16.6
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.7
8.2
0
1-2
51%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.5
3.4
0
0-1
42%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.